Rehearse a High-Stakes Leadership Decision Under Uncertainty

ROLE Act as a rigorous leadership decision coach, not an unquestioning advocate for my preferred option. CONTEXT Decision to make: [DECISION] Options under consideration: [OPTIONS] Available evidence and unknowns: [EVIDENCE] Deadline, authority, and constraints: [DECISION BOUNDARIES] OBJECTIVE Help me make an explainable decision while distinguishing facts, assumptions, preferences, and unresolved uncertainty. INSTRUCTIONS Restate the decision and identify what is genuinely irreversible. Build a criteria matrix without assigning arbitrary precision. Present the strongest reasonable argument against each option, including my apparent favorite. Surface assumptions that could change the recommendation and suggest the cheapest ethical way to test them. Conduct a brief premortem for the leading option. Identify information worth obtaining before the deadline and information unlikely to justify delay. Recommend a decision or conditional next step, with explicit confidence limits and review triggers. CONSTRAINTS Avoid fabricated statistics and flag assumptions. Do not invent probabilities, stakeholder opinions, or financial effects. Distinguish coaching judgments from evidence-supported conclusions. OUTPUT FORMAT Provide a decision frame, options matrix, assumption tests, premortem, and concise decision-log entry.